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WEEK 5 STANDARD RANKINGS:Quarterback | Running back | Wide receiver | Tight end | D/ST | Kicker. Therefore, it would likely be very difficult for a prediction algorithm to use player statistics to understand the risk of suspensions and holdouts. Melvin Gordon had a surprisingly positive increase in targets over 2019. Can something be an outlier if it happens three times? UPDATE: NFL Network's Ian Rapoport is reporting that Ekeler suffered a serious hamstring injury that will likely land him on IR four four-to-six weeks. Here are Christian McCaffery's 2019 single game targets plotted in sequential order. Additionally, Ekeler added another 12 receptions for 76 yards through the air. The correlation coefficient for this line is 0.51 where a value of positive 1 indicates a strong positive correlation and a value of negative 1 indicates a strong negative correlation. UPDATE 1: Chubb has been placed on IR by the Browns with an MCL sprain, per ESPN's Adam Schefter. The Panthers‘ GM spot has also surfaced around the NFL as one to monitor.

Jackson returned from an injury last week and racked up 21 yards on eight touches against a tough run defense. Drake (chest) left the Cardinals' loss to the Panthers in the fourth quarter and didn't return. There are many stats that should be major indicators of injury risk. The last step I'll take is to make some predictions for the upcoming season. That's 8 games where Cohen averaged 8.75 targets to 7 games where Jones averaged 1.43 targets. In his stead, Kareem Hunt will operate as Cleveland's lead back with D'Ernest Johnson mixing in as the top complement to him. With him playing 15 games, that's over a quarter of his season. So 50% of players ended up playing plus or minus 2.35 games off of the amount they were expected to. Austin Ekeler was the NFL’s most surprising running back last season after he shattered every analyst’s fantasy expectations.

... Austin Ekeler, Hunter Henry, and Mike Williams.

After starting 2019 with a red hot 6.83 targets per game in the first 6 weeks of the season, David Johnson saw an additional 6 targets for the remainder of the year. Hurney’s contract runs through 2020. The injury isn't believed to be season-ending, but Chubb will miss at least a few weeks of action. This will provide more information on each player's situation, but it is important to remember that trends internal to one season are not guaranteed to continue between seasons. Creating these lines of best fit for each of the 24 RBs analyzed above, the following results are found: Some thoughts I have to share based on these numbers: It is interesting that Drake had slightly better target numbers before moving to what is a better offense on paper in Arizona.

However both players saw fewer throws as the season progressed. Not 6 targets per game, just 6 targets total. In addition, Boston Scott may share a larger workload in 2020. Here are some things that come to mind looking at the top 12 RBs.

I'm going to break these targets down into each individual game to see what can be understood by the examining the distribution. Still, it's possible -- if not, likely -- that Chubb will miss some time with the injury. Fournette spent the other 75% of the season getting 6-8 targets in every game. In fact, it doesn't even assume that each player will play a full season. There is going to be some overlap between watching stats for roster decisions and watching stats for injury. Although the Giants are just one game back of the NFC East lead, they are 1-5 and appear on the verge of their fourth straight double-digit loss season. Now, each player is raising questions about their status moving forward and how the longevity of their injury may impact Week 5 fantasy RB rankings, waiver wire strategy, and even impact buy-low/sell-high trade opportunities for owners desperate to win now. Let's take a look at his target numbers. It doesn't expect players to repeat historical performances that defied their previous season averages.

Jones had 7 'bust' weeks in which he averaged 3.86 fewer targets than his own median.

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